GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Rayyan SC 1-1 Al-Duhail SC

Original prediction

Al-Rayyan SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4337.5%41.2%3.6 pts
Draw3.2128.4%26.9%-1.5 pts
Away2.6734.1%31.9%-2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Rayyan SCDWWLD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Duhail SCDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Rayyan SCAl-Duhail SC
50.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
83.3Power68.0
1.81xG1.38
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