GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Rayyan SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al-Arabi SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Rayyan SC hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Stars League, while Al-Rayyan SC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Rayyan SCWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Arabi SCDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al-Rayyan SCAl-Arabi SC
73.0Attack60.3
58.7Defence44.4
69.8Form41.3
66.4Power50.3
2.83xG1.32
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