GGOALVIO

Qatar · Stars League · 9/11/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Rayyan SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Rayyan SC 3-0 Al Ahli Doha

Original prediction

Al-Rayyan SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6555.2%49.8%-5.5 pts
Draw3.9623.1%24.2%1.1 pts
Away4.2121.7%26.1%4.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-5.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Al-Rayyan SC

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Al-Rayyan SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Rayyan SCDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al Ahli DohaWDLDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Rayyan SCAl Ahli Doha
44.4Attack55.6
77.8Defence33.3
77.8Form44.4
70.7Power47.5
2.07xG1.31
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