GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 10/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Raed · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Raed 1-0 Jeddah Club

Original prediction

Al-Raed

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5458.8%41.6%-17.2 pts
Draw3.7824.0%27.2%3.2 pts
Away5.2817.2%31.2%14.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Al-Raed

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Al-Raed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-RaedLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jeddah ClubLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-RaedJeddah Club
38.9Attack33.3
44.4Defence61.1
38.9Form44.4
42.0Power47.5
1.12xG1.12
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