Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Raed · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Raed 2-3 Hajer
Original prediction
Al-Raed
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.4% | 49.4% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.7% | 26.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 5.39 | 16.9% | 23.9% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Raed
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Al-Raed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-RaedWWDLL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HajerLWLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-RaedHajer
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power7.0
1.64xG0.89