Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Raed · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al-Raed 0-0 Al Saqer, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Raed 0-2 Al Saqer
Original prediction
Al-Raed
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.1% | 39.5% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 30.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.8% | 30.4% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Projected Score
Al-Raed 0–0 Al Saqer
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Al-Raed
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Al-Raed has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-RaedWLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al SaqerLWLDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al-RaedAl Saqer
38.1Attack23.8
52.4Defence71.4
47.6Form33.3
47.4Power44.9
0.91xG0.82