Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Pakhtakor
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/26/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pakhtakor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-0 Pakhtakor
Original prediction
Pakhtakor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 26.5% | 27.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.2% | 26.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 44.3% | 46.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Pakhtakor
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Pakhtakor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40