Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Naft Maysan
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 8/29/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Quwa Al Jawiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Naft Maysan
Original prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.4% | 44.8% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.5% | 27.1% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 6.92 | 13.1% | 28.1% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/2.00