Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Diyala
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/19/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Quwa Al Jawiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-1 Diyala
Original prediction
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.5% | 45.9% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 24.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.10 | 17.6% | 29.9% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00