Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Al Zawra'a
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Zawra'a · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-1 Al Zawra'a
Original prediction
Al Zawra'a
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.6% | 30.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.3% | 29.5% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 34.1% | 40.3% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Al Zawra'a
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Al Zawra'a has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60