Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Al-Karma
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Karma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0-0 Al-Karma
Original prediction
Al-Karma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.75 | 32.8% | 23.2% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.4% | 25.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.8% | 51.7% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Al-Karma
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Al-Karma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80