Al Quwa Al Jawiyavs
Al Ain
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/12/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1-4 Al Ain
Original prediction
Al Ain
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.93 | 15.6% | 27.3% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.34 | 21.3% | 25.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 63.0% | 46.8% | -16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–17%
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00