Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Qadsia 0-0 Al Nasar, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Qadsia 3-0 Al Nasar
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.6% | 37.7% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 31.9% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 20.8% | 30.4% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Qadsia 0–0 Al Nasar
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al QadsiaLWDDL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasarWW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Al QadsiaAl Nasar
0.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power50.0
0.66xG0.71