Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kuwait · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Qadsia 0-1 Al Kuwait
Original prediction
Al Kuwait
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.8% | 35.4% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.2% | 28.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 35.9% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Kuwait
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Al Kuwait has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al QadsiaWDDLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al KuwaitDWWWW
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al QadsiaAl Kuwait
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24