GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/14/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 Al-Wasl FC

Original prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3567.9%51.7%-16.1 pts
Draw4.9518.5%25.3%6.7 pts
Away6.7613.6%23.0%9.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-16.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Qadisiyah FCDWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Wasl FCDWLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Wasl FC
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence46.7
50.0Form40.0
50.0Power42.5
1.76xG0.90
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