GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/26/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-1 Al Sadd

Original prediction

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6057.7%53.0%-4.7 pts
Draw4.1622.2%24.1%1.9 pts
Away4.6220.0%22.9%2.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-Qadisiyah FCLWWDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al SaddWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Qadisiyah FCAl Sadd
50.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence16.7
66.7Form0.0
64.8Power13.2
2.12xG1.03
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