Al-Qadisiyah FCvs
Al-Faisaly FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-1 Al-Faisaly FC
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 81.1% | 61.5% | -19.6 pts |
| Draw | 7.85 | 11.8% | 20.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 13.01 | 7.1% | 17.9% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60