Al-Qadisiyah FCvs
Al-Ettifaq
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/11/2026, 3:25:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-3 Al-Ettifaq
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.24 | 74.0% | 59.0% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 6.02 | 15.3% | 21.9% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 8.53 | 10.8% | 19.2% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20