Al-Qadisiyah FCvs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.8% | 46.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.7% | 25.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.5% | 28.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20