Al-Qadisiyah FCvs
Abha
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/16/2026, 1:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2-1 Abha
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 84.0% | 80.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.79 | 10.6% | 12.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 17.18 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
80.3%
Model confidence
80.3%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40