Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Orubah 1-1 Al Zulfi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.8% | 35.5% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.7% | 29.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.6% | 35.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al OrubahDLLWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al ZulfiDWLDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al OrubahAl Zulfi
0.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence100.0
16.7Form66.7
36.5Power68.0
1.01xG1.10