Al Orubahvs
Al Bukayriyah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 10/20/2026, 3:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Orubah · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Orubah 1-0 Al Bukayriyah, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Orubah 1-1 Al Bukayriyah
Original prediction
Al Orubah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.1% | 52.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.3% | 27.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.86 | 23.6% | 20.1% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Al Orubah 1–0 Al Bukayriyah
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Al Orubah
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Al Orubah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al OrubahDWDDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al BukayriyahLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al OrubahAl Bukayriyah
22.2Attack19.0
77.8Defence38.1
38.9Form9.5
49.4Power26.0
1.35xG0.56