Al Okhdoodvs
Al Najma
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/7/2026, 5:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Okhdood · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Okhdood 2-2 Al Najma
Original prediction
Al Okhdood
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.2% | 39.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 29.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.2% | 31.1% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Al Okhdood
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Al Okhdood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00