GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/18/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Fateh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Okhdood are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al-Fateh are 2W-2D-0L in their last 4 (DWWD), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Fateh hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Pro League, while Al-Fateh holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Fateh

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Al-Fateh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al OkhdoodD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Al-FatehDWWD

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.75/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
Al OkhdoodAl-Fateh
32.4Attack55.9
49.0Defence46.1
32.4Form44.1
40.2Power49.5
1.10xG1.62
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