Al Okhdoodvs
Al-Adalah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 10/20/2026, 4:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Adalah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Okhdood 1-3 Al-Adalah
Original prediction
Al-Adalah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 34.3% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 25.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.8% | 40.4% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Al-Adalah
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Al-Adalah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00