GGOALVIO

World · AFC Challenge League · 10/26/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nejmeh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Al Nejmeh are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Bashundhara Kings are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nejmeh hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 15.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.8% in the AFC Challenge League, while Al Nejmeh holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nejmeh

Probability

60.8%

Model confidence

60.8%

Al Nejmeh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NejmehLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bashundhara KingsLWWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al NejmehBashundhara Kings
55.6Attack11.1
55.6Defence22.2
66.7Form0.0
62.6Power15.5
2.18xG0.98
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