GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 8/22/2023, 5:20:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Nassr are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Nassr hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (72.9 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Al-Nassr holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Nassr

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-NassrLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shabab Al Ahli DubaiWW

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 3.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Al-NassrShabab Al Ahli Dubai
72.7Attack83.3
60.6Defence33.3
78.8Form50.0
72.9Power54.2
2.67xG1.16
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