Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al-Nassr are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Taawon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Nassr hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (77.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Nassr holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
11.6%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40