Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al-Nassr are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Al Taawon are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Nassr hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (77.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Pro League, while Al-Nassr holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00