Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 3-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Nassr 3-0 Al-Fateh
Original prediction
Al-Nassr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.3–08%
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
9.0%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-NassrLLWLW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-FatehLDWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
98.0Attack55.9
58.8Defence46.1
80.4Form44.1
77.0Power49.5
3.21xG1.18