GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/13/2024, 2:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Khorfakkan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrLDWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KhorfakkanDLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al NasrKhorfakkan
66.7Attack45.3
33.3Defence30.7
33.3Form30.7
45.3Power38.0
2.46xG1.32
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