Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hatta SC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.2% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80