GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/23/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Emirates Club are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Emirates ClubLLLLL

GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al NasrEmirates Club
66.7Attack39.1
33.3Defence26.1
33.3Form24.6
45.3Power32.6
2.66xG1.12
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