Al Nasrvs
Dubai United
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 9/20/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Nasr 3-1 Dubai United
Original prediction
Al Nasr
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.1% | 46.5% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.6% | 25.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.89 | 18.3% | 27.7% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60