GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/8/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dibba Al Hisn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 13.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.2% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

66.2%

Model confidence

66.2%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrLDWWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dibba Al HisnWDDLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasrDibba Al Hisn
66.7Attack37.2
33.3Defence28.2
33.3Form20.5
45.3Power31.4
2.60xG1.06
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