Al Nasrvs
Baniyas SC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Presidents Cup · 10/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Nasr 0-1 Baniyas SC
Original prediction
Al Nasr
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 53.3% | 42.1% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 27.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.6% | 30.3% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00