GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 8/29/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Baniyas SCWDDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al NasrBaniyas SC
66.7Attack43.1
33.3Defence38.9
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power40.7
2.15xG1.26
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