GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 3/2/2024, 1:35:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al NasrBaniyas SC
66.7Attack43.1
33.3Defence38.9
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power40.7
2.15xG1.26
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