GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 11/1/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al Wahda FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Al Wahda FCWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al NasrAl Wahda FC
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence0.0
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
2.06xG1.48
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