Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Al Nasr are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al Urooba are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.2% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
76.2%
Model confidence
76.2%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80