GGOALVIO

Oman · Professional League · 9/12/2026, 12:40:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Nasr 2-0 Al Musannah

Original prediction

Al Nasr

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5559.0%50.6%-8.3 pts
Draw3.6525.1%26.9%1.9 pts
Away5.7316.0%22.5%6.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–014%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.2–012%

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al MusannahLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Al NasrAl Musannah
66.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form0.0
86.5Power26.7
1.55xG0.78
View match centre →