Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Nasr are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40