Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Nasr are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Al-Jazira are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00