GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/26/2024, 2:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Nasr are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

41.4%

Model confidence

41.4%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NasrWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLWWLD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al NasrAl-Ittihad Kalba
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.85xG1.58
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