Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al Nasr are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80