Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al Bataeh are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Nasr
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40