Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al Ain are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20