Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Al Nasr are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al Ain are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80