Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajman · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Al Nasr are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ajman are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajman hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Pro League, while Ajman holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajman
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Ajman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80