Al Nasr U23vs
Al Jazira U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 9/11/2026, 1:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Jazira U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Nasr U23 3-2 Al Jazira U23
Original prediction
Al Jazira U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.0% | 28.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.5% | 25.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 46.7% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Jazira U23
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Al Jazira U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20